Can the guest workers leave at a moments notice? My ignorant vibes based westerner impression was that their situation was extremely draconian and essentially indentured servitude. I distinctly remember stories about passports being confiscated on arrival.
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If it happens it will be less like the first US civil war and more like Libya or Syria or what USreal wants for Iran. Dozens of little nonstate factions fighting in an incoherent free for all of violence that breaks down the existing state and prevents new ones from forming.