18 months in, I am eating pretty good on these 5y predictions (@Owl too)

• Land war in Asia seems to be a go 👀
• Assad is OUT FOR GOOD! ❌
• But all of Syria is now a gain for Turkey, arguably client state. ✅
• Kashmir conflict gets hot! ✅
• Yoon Suk-Yeol not assassinated, but still definitively deposed in an embarrassing way. (½)
• Russian-backed side looks set to win the Sudanese civil war. 👀
• No seismic changes in West Africa yet. ...
• Starmer on borrowed time, about to eat shit 👀
• Labour not gonna remain part of a UK duopoly tho ❌
• SNP and Plaid Cymru likely to win majorities 👀
• Mexico tries to do some embargo bypassing to Cuba. ✅
• Thailand and Cambodia get into a beef but so far no state-level changes. ...
• Japan clearly making a committed movement to re-arm under Takaichi. ✅
• Israel does a long string of decapitation attacks on the Axis of Resistance, with American assistance; this wins them nothing and just puts them on a losing trajectory. ✅✅
• Democrats lose the Most Important Election Of Our Lifetime to Trump. ❌

Not too shabby for a dabbler like me.